In the lead-up to the 2024 election, Democrats are facing a sense of déjà vu as fears of a “blue wall” collapse resurface, much like the shocking results in 2016. Back then, few saw Donald Trump’s victory in the Midwest as anything more than a fluke. But now, even Democrats are acknowledging the very real possibility that this so-called blue firewall could be crumbling once again. Despite securing it in 2020, the Harris campaign is grappling with the grim reality that a loss in Michigan or Wisconsin might be on the horizon, leaving them scrambling to chart a path to 270 electoral votes.
The buzz within Harris’ camp, as NBC News has reported, reveals growing concerns. The once “secure” battlegrounds are starting to look shaky, with Michigan especially under the microscope. Some staffers are apparently whispering about a “worst-case scenario” where Trump flips Michigan or Wisconsin, cutting Harris’ Electoral College chances to the bone. Even if she manages to hang onto Pennsylvania, it may not be enough to get her to the finish line without securing another critical battleground.
In 2020, Joe Biden flipped states like Georgia and Arizona, padding his win. But 2024 is shaping up to be a different story. Polls show Trump leading in Georgia by 2.5 points—essentially putting it out of reach for Harris. If Georgia’s 16 electoral votes are indeed gone, the race becomes even tighter. And with Trump ahead in Michigan by 1.2 points, the situation for Harris is looking increasingly dire. Polls that once showed her ahead are now leaning the other way, with even Democrat-friendly outlets showing her slipping in key states.
As Election Day draws nearer, Harris’ campaign appears to be running out of gas, particularly in swing states where she can’t afford to falter. Trump’s lead in battlegrounds is expanding, while Harris struggles to maintain momentum in her must-win states. If Michigan and Georgia both flip, Harris would need a miracle to claw her way back into the race, making the collapse of the blue wall a nightmare the Democrats can’t afford. The clock is ticking, and unless something dramatic happens, this election could mirror the unexpected outcome of 2016.
Media Begin Predicting a Blue Collapse
