If you’ve been paying attention to how we elect presidents in this country—and let’s hope you have—this is the only tracker that actually matters in a neck-and-neck race like this one. For the millionth time (because apparently some folks still don’t get it), the popular vote does not decide who wins. It’s almost embarrassing that this needs to be repeated, but some Democrats are still nursing their 2016 wounds and pushing to dismantle the Electoral College—the very institution that’s kept us from falling into the trap of mob rule. Sorry, but your candidate getting more votes doesn’t guarantee victory. The rules have been clear for over two centuries.
Adding salt to the wound for the left, polling guru Nate Silver is throwing out some projections that aren’t exactly making liberals do a happy dance. Despite all the chest-thumping, USA chants, and empty patriotic rhetoric at the Democratic convention, Kamala Harris isn’t seeing any bump in the polls. It’s like watching a helium balloon lose air—slow and kind of sad. Harris, much like an outdated satellite, is plummeting back to Earth, and the so-called momentum from the convention is fizzling out. Sure, Silver’s not outright saying Trump will win, but let’s face it, the Electoral College numbers are looking better for him post-convention.
The real showdown is on the horizon—September 10, the debate that’s gearing up to be the political version of High Noon. Based on Kamala’s recent CNN interview, it’s hard to see how she avoids another public spanking. Let’s be honest, Harris will likely try to bait Trump into a narrative about race or gender, hoping for her viral “I’m speaking” moment to rally her base. You know, the whole I’m a strong Black woman routine that will be spoon-fed to viewers. Trump, of course, should be ready for that. All he needs to do is stay focused and push her into an actual discussion on issues—like the economy or her brilliant ideas on price control.
If Kamala thought she could just ride the wave of identity politics without actually having a firm grasp on the issues, she’s in for a rude awakening. The economy is Trump’s strong suit, and Harris has nothing but buzzwords and platitudes when it comes to policy specifics. In a detailed exchange, her lack of understanding will be glaring. Trump just needs to keep his cool and treat Harris like a more coherent version of Biden—sure, she may sound sharper, but at the end of the day, it’s all a jumble of empty words. In this arena, substance trumps style, and Harris is running on fumes.
Latest @NateSilver538 forecast (9/3)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 3, 2024
Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 56.7% (highest since 7/31)
🟦 Harris: 43.0%
——
Swing States: chance of winning
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 57-43%
Georgia – 🔴 Trump 64-36%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 67-33%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 70-30%
Nevada – 🔴… https://t.co/QZjx9HVZ5n pic.twitter.com/p2hIdVZ2Gt
